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Extreme Cyclones and Storm Surges in the Past and Future Climates: A Sensitivity Study for the Baltic Sea Region
http://hdl.handle.net/10131/00015363
http://hdl.handle.net/10131/00015363c81f59f4-82e7-405c-8afe-dafa439f87af
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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IGARSS2022_Maell_AcceptedVersion.pdf (713.0 kB)
Download is available from 2024/9/27.
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Item type | 学術雑誌論文 / Journal Article(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2023-06-07 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | Extreme Cyclones and Storm Surges in the Past and Future Climates: A Sensitivity Study for the Baltic Sea Region | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | eng | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題 | Solid modeling, Uncertainty, Sensitivity, Storms, Atmospheric modeling, Predictive models, Cyclones, Climate change, atmospheric movements, atmospheric temperature, climatology, finite volume methods, oceanographic regions, sea level, storms, weather forecasting, wind, extreme cyclones, storm surges, Baltic Sea region, possible parameters, extratropical cyclones, Baltic Sea area, Holocene thermal maximum, modelling system, ARW-WRF, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model, surrogate background conditions, cyclone parameters, steeper climate change scenarios, higher air temperatures, North Atlantic ETCs, North Atlantic current systems, atmospheric parameters, pseudo-climate modeling, ETCs, typhoons, storm surges, Holocene, global warming | |||||
資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
資源タイプ | journal article | |||||
著者 |
Martin, Mäll
× Martin, Mäll× Ülo, Suursaar× Matías, Gómez× Ryota, Nakamura |
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著者所属 | ||||||
Department of Civil Engineering, Yokohama National University | ||||||
著者所属 | ||||||
University of Tartu, Estonian Marine Institute Tallinn | ||||||
著者所属 | ||||||
Department of Civil Engineering, Universidad Católica de la Santísima Concepción | ||||||
著者所属 | ||||||
Civil Engineering Program, Niigata University | ||||||
抄録 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
内容記述 | The purpose of the paper is to analyse the possible parameters of extratropical cyclones (ETCs) as they would occur in the Baltic Sea area at the end of the 21st century and in the past during the Holocene thermal maximum. Using a modelling system composed of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) atmospheric model, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM), and surrogate background conditions, the results showed that changes in cyclone parameters are more profound under steeper climate change scenarios (RCP8.5) and under higher air temperatures. Most likely, the North Atlantic ETCs will become slightly stronger, but also the uncertainty increases. Nonlinear interactions between ice melt, North Atlantic current systems and atmospheric parameters probably induce an uncertainty both into future and past storminess reconstructions. | |||||
書誌情報 |
IGARSS 2022 - 2022 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium 発行日 2022-09-28 |
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DOI | ||||||
関連タイプ | isVersionOf | |||||
識別子タイプ | DOI | |||||
関連識別子 | info:doi/10.1109/IGARSS46834.2022.9884136 | |||||
権利 | ||||||
権利情報 | © 2022 IEEE. Personal use of this material is permitted. Permission from IEEE must be obtained for all other uses, in any current or future media, including reprinting/republishing this material for advertising or promotional purposes, creating new collective works, for resale or redistribution to servers or lists, or reuse of any copyrighted component of this work in other works. | |||||
著者版フラグ | ||||||
出版タイプ | AM | |||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_ab4af688f83e57aa | |||||
出版者 | ||||||
出版者 | Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers | |||||
関係URI | ||||||
識別子タイプ | DOI | |||||
関連識別子 | https://doi.org/10.1109/IGARSS46834.2022.9884136 | |||||
関連名称 | https://doi.org/10.1109/IGARSS46834.2022.9884136 |